JD Vance’s chances of winning 2028 election revealed – as MAGA supporters slammed as “unintelligent”

Speculation is already building around who could take over once Donald Trump leaves office.

Despite occasionally joking about running for a third term, that’s not actually an option. Under the 22nd Amendment, a president can only serve two terms in total, effectively ruling Trump out.

That’s left many looking toward potential successors, and historically, vice presidents often try to step into the role. Figures like Kamala Harris, Mike Pence, and Al Gore have all made attempts.

Now, attention has shifted to current vice president JD Vance. Once seen as a strong Republican contender, his position appears to have weakened. According to Newsweek, his chances of winning have dropped significantly, hitting what’s described as an “all-time low” of 18 percent earlier this week.

Prediction markets are reflecting similar uncertainty, but they’re far from stable. On March 26, PredictIt showed Gavin Newsom leading the field among himself, Vance, and Marco Rubio, with a 24 percent chance of winning compared to Vance’s 22 percent, according to UNILad.

JD Vance’s winning chances at an “all time low”

Just days later, however, the numbers shifted again. By March 29, PredictIt had Vance back in the lead at 24 percent, with Newsom slipping to 22.

Another platform, Kalshi, places his chances at 18.8 percent, with Newsom close behind at 18.1 percent.

The latest figures mark a noticeable drop from where things stood just months ago. In late September, market estimates suggested Vance had over a 30 percent chance of becoming president, making the current numbers a sharp contrast to earlier expectations.

The shift also comes amid criticism from Joe Rogan, who recently described MAGA supporters as “really weird, f**king uninteresting, unintelligent people that have got something they cling to” and “dorks.”

Vance later responded to the comments during an appearance on The Benny Show, saying: “I think we have many, many fewer dorks than the far left, but everybody’s got some dorks

“We love our dorks,” he added. “We love our cool kids. We love anybody who wants to save the country.”

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